railaw wrote:Those numbers are both surprising and interesting. I have to acknowledge a laziness factor here in asking questions rather than trying to answer them, but i wonder if you have information regarding just the VT portion of the route? We know that many more people take it south of SPG than north; what are the costs (and revenues) of running that portion of the route? I would hazard a guess that using your same decisions on what to include as operating expenses and revenues on just the VT portion would not show a surplus.
Reconstructing ridership patterns on the Vermonter is actually fairly easy (it's a stub-end train and the only service to stations north of Springfield). Amtrak ridership and revenue reports credit the Vermonter with riders north of Springfield. In FY08, there were 72,655 riders on the Vermonter, or approximately 100 per train per day. Of those riders, 4,725 (6.5 per train per day) completed their trip north of Springfield, while the balance continued to or through Springfield. Here are the boarding/alighting statistics:
Code: Select allStation Board/ Board per Cumulative
Alight train Board per train
St. Albans VT 2,564 3.5 3.5
Essex Junction VT 15,823 21.7 25.2
Waterbury VT 4,421 6.1 31.2
Montpelier VT 5,830 8.0 39.2
Randolph VT 1,617 2.2 41.4
White River Jct VT 16,033 22.0 63.4
Windsor-Mt. Ascutney VT 1,020 1.4 64.8
Claremont NH 1,799 2.5 67.3
Bellows Falls VT 4,050 5.5 72.8
Brattleboro VT 11,544 15.8 88.6
Amherst MA 12,679 17.4 106.0
These can't quite be interpreted as average loads per train per segment, because they don't account for intra-Vermont travel, but they have to be pretty close. As others have noted, this route has a lot of variability by day and month, so some trains will be significantly higher or lower than average.