Alphaboi wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:35 pm
Right now the "defunct route" I'd most like to see restored is daily service on the LDs.
Mr. Alphaboi, I think there should be some question that those such as you, along with the advocacy community, want to see is a "post-COVID done deal".
True, simply because the train mileage on the affected LD routes has been reduced by 57.14% does not mean that same amount of operating loss has been realized. "We" know that.
But how about John Q Public - and even some of his duly elected representatives?
I think that the apparently prevalent maxim of "no LD's, no dough" (can someone think of one as catchy as "no bucks, no Buck Rogers"?) becomes less prevalent each election cycle. It could even be prevalent right now that 218+51+1 will still give Amtrak its $1.3B or thereabouts in the post-COVID world - tri weekly LD's notwithstanding.
However, there is no assurance that ridership will return to pre-COVID levels anytime soon - even in the Corridors, so $1.3 may be inadequate to "buy gas and pay the drivers". The $100M "loss" for FY19, even if in reality fiction, will not magically reappear post-COVID.
With this ostensible "$100M loss", Amtrak was strong enough to go to the private capital markets for its recent equipment purchases. That could easily no longer be the case, and will have to rely on public funding for the needed Amfleet and diesel locomotive replacements. The Superliners are also getting on their last legs, and there is question if they will ever be replaced.
Let us not forget the "encroachment" that the LD's represent to the Class I industry, as well as the "bargain basement incremental" they pay the industry to have them on their rails. As more roads adopt "The Gospel According to Saint Elwood" (PSR) operating practices, the more a scheduled passenger train will represent interference with such. The roads are not hurting for business at present; just look at the Class I's financials - all are public record - and see for yourself.
So all told, I don't think it an automatic "COVID's gone, Daily's back".
Finally, on the other "bullet" dear to the advocacy community's heart - Full Service Dining. Yes the "Micascope" has been put away, but I think Amtrak is enjoying the savings that "Flex Dining" brings. With a Dining Car crew comprising of one each FSS, LSA, SA, how can there not be savings? Amtrak is clearly no longer interested in promoting "experiential" LD travel, and I think would just as soon be rid of the LD's entirely, why even consider bringing Full Service back?