The public meeting last night revealed a lot of the T's thinking, and made it clear why they've handled this how they have. They're realizing a 50+ year dream of ridding themselves of trolleybuses, and aren't going to trip up at this point.
1. They're leveraging the Mt Auburn (Watertown) and Belmont St (Cambridge) street reconstructions to end the ETB system. MassDOT says Mt Auburn will require a 5 year removal of wire (even the connection to the 73) so they have no choice but to scrap it. They claim that by the time it's over, battery buses will be so well developed there's no reason to even consider ETB operation.
2. They also claim that the overhead wire system (OHW) is so old and decayed that it can't support in-motion charging (IMC) ETBs. I don't know of anyone outside the T who believes this, or believes their estimate of $30 million to overhaul the OHW system, but they're sticking to their guns.
3. They have no BEBs which can operate the kind of schedule blocks which the ETBs run now, but are taking a flyer that it'll be possible by 2024. Again - remember, the T doesn't care if they run diesels longer.
4. The T stated in the meeting that overhead wire is "old-fashioned technology" and that they feel that it is unsafe and dangerous to string wire over streets/right of way they don't control. In their mind, the only place other than the ETB network that fits this description is the lower E Line street running. They basically said they will oppose any continuation of transit OHW, or any new addition of it elsewhere. They flatly ruled out any extensions of OHW to make the Harvard Square system more viable as a "political non-starter." They also made it clear that they view the current OHW as a safety risk and it will be coming down ASAP after March 12th. I expect a hasty removal.
5. MassDOT/MBTA have clearly coordinated, and have bought the support of Watertown and Cambridge by saying any effort to retain the ETB system would endanger the two street reconstruction projects. I got the feeling MassDOT made sure to use those road projects as leverage to "help out" the T.
6. The two state reps for Belmont and Watertown promised to "hold the T's feet to the fire" to make sure BEBs are deployed on time in 2024, but I don't see that there will be much that can be done, since the T will have scrapped all of the ETB infrastructure.
7. The T seems to see garage chargers and batteries as "free" in that the manufacturers will maintain them. Seems shortsighted, as we all know that cost will be made up somewhere, but that's clearly where their thinking is and why they can claim that BEBs are so much cheaper. I suspect they're just hiding operational/maintenance expenses in capital costs.
Wondering if I'll see the Western Route double-tracking finished before I retire...
Photo: Melbourne W7 No. 1019 on Route 78, Bridge & Church Streets, Richmond, Victoria. 10/21/2010