Rhinecliff wrote:
Now, turning to the Desert Wind, my feeling on the subject is that the train will only be viable if it is restored as a full service Superliner-equiped section of the California Zephyr. Any kind of stub service between LAX and LAS strikes me as providing too little utillity to justify the cost, and too little flexibility to compete with the extensive airline service already available.
I'm having trouble grasping why a 2,100-mile run from Chicago would succeed while a 350-mile service from Los Angeles would fail. The old Desert Wind didn't service to Vegas - LA market well on account of its early departure (7 am) and late arrival (8:40 pm) in Vegas. Unless you planned on doing an all-nighter in the casinos, a train trip would require two nights in a hotel.
OTOH, a competitively marketed service (5 1/2 hr. trip time, reasonable fares, morning departure from LA, early evening departure from Vegas) should attract decent ridership - 200 - 300 passengers per day each way - given the size of the Southern California market.
If you wanted Chicago - Las Vegas service, I'd go with a stub train from Barstow to Las Vegas consisting of a sleeper and coach/cafe off the SW Chief. The Barstow - Las Vegas distance is less than half that of Salt Lake City - Las Vegas, 184 vs. 448, so you would save a crew district and considerable fuel expense. Arrival and departure times in Vegas would be about the same as for Los Angeles.
I honestly believe for a LA-LV service to work, there must be FREQUENCY of service, DECENTRALIZATION of departure points, and ENTERTAINMENT as an alternative to "waiting at the departure airport and riding on the plane" time.
Frequency is good, but keep in mind that without a radical upgrade of the route to cut trip times to under hour hours each way, one RT per day is about all you could get out of a trainset on this run. Thus, the economies of scale are limited. Unless you could prove that somehow 2+2 would equal five, i.e. the gains from multiple frequencies would exceed the out-of-pocket costs, it would be difficult to make the case at this time for a second or third $10 million trainset.
As for decentralization, keep in mind stops would be made in Fullerton and San Bernardino, and train schedules could be coordinated with Metrolink and the Pacific Surfliner from San Diego and Santa Barbara. Unlike the airport, a train has some decentralization built into its route.
I have no problem with Entertainment, but I doubt that would be the number one reason people would take the train. Comfort, relief from driving fatique/stress, fear of flying, fear of terrorists, avoiding airport security lines come to mind as higher priorities. OTOH, scenery on this route is pretty bland, from my recollection, so having a showgirl or two running up the aisles wouldn't hurt.
As for the comment asking for censorship of Matt Fels, that is an insult to a thoughtful person.
I apologize if you felt that is what my remark intended. I would suggest that it was Mr. Fels who was calling for censorship by saying "There is no sense discussing any expansion of the Amtrak route system until the Mineta Moratorium is lifted. Fortunately, there are apparently other places on the Internet to discuss, er, nonsense."
Mr. Fels certainly is entitled to his opinion. However, I come from the school that believes that if you have nothing constructive or substantive to offer to a dialogue it is better to say nothing.