I've made a few posts to this thread, and reading most of the others makes me either laugh or shake my head.
The engineman's cell phone had no bearing on this incident. NONE. It's already been established that it was turned off, until AFTER the wreck, when he turned it on and used it to call for help.
The speculation of "rocks being thrown" is a "McGuffin" (if you don't know what that means, see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MacGuffin" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;)
There were no "rocks".
The engineman's drug and blood tests in all likelihood have already come back and are "clean as a hound's tooth". Drugs have no bearing on the incident at all.
These tests are usually available in about 2-3 days, there's nothing that would prevent the results from being known by then.
And as a personal experience, I've had a railroad random drug test that came back postive for opium. Not a "false positive" but a
REAL positive.
I worked the same day of being notified of this and having an interesting conversation with Amtrak's medical director -- a good story, but I ain't tellin' it here.
I'm reading the post by adamj023 above and grinning:
[[ But something in that testimony troubled me and stuck out like a sore thumb. We still don't know the cause and the options of what caused the crash are narrow. The infrastructure was fine, train checks out fine and the train had multiple safeguards built in. ]]
Huh?
Of course we "know" what "caused" the crash.
The train wrecked because it was going far too fast for the curve it encountered.
And "the infrastructure was fine, train checks out fine..."
The only factor in question is why did the locomotive accelerate approaching a curve where it should have been braking?
I can think of two reasons:
1. The locomotive accelerated suddenly out of control of the engineman, due to electrical or mechanical malfunction.
or
2. The locomotive accelerated because the engineman advanced the throttle to make it accelerate.
Really, folks.... what other explanations are possible?
And what is the likelihood of possibility #1 above?
A few other interesting pieces of information have emerged since the wreck:
- The engineman was relatively "new to the territory", I believe he'd only been qualified for the run about two or three weeks?
- The trip down had been a difficult one due to a cab signal (or similar) failure.
- The engineman didn't have much turnaround time to "rest up" because of this.
I believe I posted this before, and i'll restate it.
Think of a musician playing a piece. At first, he needs the sheet music score before him, to prompt him and keep him "on track" (pun intended). But after playing that piece over and over and over and over, the notes come automatically from memorization. The player "knows where he is, and where he's going."
Looks like the guy was still new enough to the territory that he had to be consciously keeping track of where he was. Once you do this for a while, your "sense of place" becomes more ingrained, you almost can look out at the railroad anywhere and just "know" where you are. After doing the same run for years, running the engine becomes a "set of moves" that are close to "automatic".
But this guy "wasn't there yet", he had not yet reached that point where the "moves came automatically" to him. He still had to "think on it" to get from one mile to the next.
Well, it could have been "newness", he could have been tired, or something else,
but for a few important moments he appears to have forgotten just where he was.
Wasn't there a 70mph curve behind him, and a stretch of about 80mph for a mile or so just before the Frankford curves? And, beyond the curves tangent track with a 110mph normal speed? (I was a Zone 1 guy, NY to DC wasn't my territory)
Looks like he was doing fine till he cleared that last slowdown behind, but at that point he "forgot the score".
He
thought he was now into the 110mph territory -- about a mile or two "ahead of where he actually was."
Thus, he is accelerating the locomotive towards 110 -- when he should be braking for the 50mph curves.
And then, at around 108mph, he sees the first curve looming in front of him, and suddenly his mind "snaps back" to the realization of where he
REALLY is.
So.... he does the only thing he can do -- he dumps it.
But it's too late.
The curve "got him".
It's as simple as that.
And that's why no one seems to be able to "explain" it.
Well, HE could explain it -- but he "can't recall".
He'll have two choices at the investigation:
- Admit he made a mistake
or
- Continue to claim "he can't recall".
Which choice will shed the better light on his mistake?
- John
(32+ years on Conrail, Metro-North, and Amtrak)