CP: From Maine to Mexico!

Tidbits from the CPKC Merger filing at the STB re: tonnage growth on the Moosehead from EXHIBIT 14: TRAFFIC DENSITY CPR Year 2020 Average Tons per Mile of Road (000) APP VOL. 2, PAGE 468

CPR MOOSEHEAD EAST BROWNVILLE JCT,ME - BOUNDARY,PQ: Total Gross tons (000): 1,760 actual
CPR MOOSEHEAD WEST BOUNDARY,PQ - MEGANTIC,PQ Total Gross tons (000): 3,312 actual

And then projections at 3 years following the KCS acquisition: EXHIBIT 14: TRAFFIC DENSITY
CPR Growth Plan Year 3 Average Tons per Mile of Road (000) APP VOL. 2, PAGE 490

CPR MOOSEHEAD EAST BROWNVILLE JCT,ME - BOUNDARY,PQ: Total Gross tons (000): 4,264 (2+X growth)
CPR MOOSEHEAD WEST BOUNDARY,PQ - MEGANTIC,PQ Total Gross tons (000): 3,604 (only 10% growth?!?)

Based off videos on various social media sites, 142/251 have been very short lately, unless Saint John gets a ship in. Most noticeably (it might just be me missing the cars), but I haven't seen a loaded car of Irving lumber in a while going west.

The only way CP is going to increase traffic on this line is if they can develop more intermodal and unit trains business. There is little growth opportunity for them on the carload side and much of their existing business will be in jeopardy once CSX steps into the picture.

Saw a shot of today's 251 through Bromont, two of the first five cars were Irving lumber loads.