mtuandrew wrote:
Sorry, but I still don't buy it. The HSTs are an out-of-the-box solution with a reasonable (I guess) track record, but would California lease sets that must be coming up on their first heavy rebuild? Also, will there be enough Phase I catenary for these units to be worthwhile before something better comes along? We are dealing with trainsets old enough to have a Driver's License as it is, and they will be old enough to drink legally by the time Bombardier can shop them around. Talgo (and others like Siemens' Brightline single-levels and the Alstom Avelia Liberty) allow for 110 mph+ diesel now and 150 mph+ electric later with the change of a locomotive.
Why should Califronia even consider buying a train with a maximum speed of 186 mph when they are building a HSR corridor for maximum speeds of over 200 mph, maybe as high as 225 moh?
Some math follows, 225 - 186 = 39, 200 - 186 = 14, 79 + 14 = 93, 79 + 39 = 118, 90 + 14 = 104, 90 + 39 = 129, 110 + 14 = 124,
110 + 39 = 149, 125 + 14 = 139, 125 + 39 = 164.
A 39 mph speed difference is a significant speed decrease. If CDOT and CHSR bough Alstom HSR train sets, they would want AGV models vs Avelia Liberty models.
And it is quite true that the existing Acela trains will require half life overhauls, to be paid for by the leasing company owning them, not by California who would be leasing and operating them. As I responded earlier, leasing the Acela train sets should/would be an interim solution. Upon initial startup they could have trains traveling at speeds of 150, possibly 160, mph vs diesel propelled or Sprinter propelled locomotives with a max speed of 125 mph. A 25 to 35 mph max speed increase is significant.
Of course, as in my earlier reply, it all depends upon what the lease payments and maintenance costs were, in comparison with other rolling stock available. Which brings back the purpose of my replies, I'm not suggesting wether it would be wise for anyone to lease them, I suggesting where the soon to fall off Amtrak lease Acela trains could be used with little to no modifications. Keystones and CHSR are the two possibilities where there is or could be an overhead catenary they could use.