by F-line to Dudley via Park
-- Fairmount definitely if the 15-20 min. Indigo headways are real (and it's not just a cruel bait-and-switch).
-- Worcester definitely with all the layers of service that are going to be using it: Worcester expresses and semi-expresses, Framingham locals, Riverside "Indigos". The Beacon St. overpass would have to be raised since that hangs too low for wire clearance over a bi-level. All places Beacon Park to the Mass Pike overpass in Westborough are fine as-is, especially with the Beacon Park freight long gone and autoracks being relocated out of Framingham never to return. Double-stack territory from Worcester to Westborough Yard needs 23'1" of undergrade clearance for wires to pass over the unshielded roofs of the double-stack freights that currently roam there...but it's only a half-dozen or so bridges total, some are already super-tall, and nearly all can be track-undercut instead of bridge-raised. Worcester does not have the same DS+electrification problems that Fitchburg and Haverhill will...although you're not going to string wires west of Worcester (it's ~35 overhead bridges just Worcester-Springfield).
-- ...and Needham's future in the pecking order is really going to be decided long before the Link happens, simply from escalating NEC service levels squeezing it past the point where those schedules can co-mingle (as-is the Needham schedules can pretty much never increase at all because of said congestion). That conversion to rapid transit really isn't going to be optional at some point. The only question is pinning exactly which decade it becomes a non-optional priority. Probably not by the 2020's, but definitely before the 2040's.
Worcester + Fairmount + Providence are >half the southside equipment pool. And if anything will be stretching their lead that much more over Franklin, Needham, Stoughton/South Coast, and Old Colony+Cape with time as service densities increase. Throw in RIDOT Providence-Westerly and you've got more than ample scale for a robust EMU fleet in the near-term.
Fairmount's particularly easy to electrify because it would only need one paralleling station installed at the midpoint. The existing electrification infrastructure at Southampton and Readville tie it in at both ends. You just need the substation capacity out of Southampton and Sharon increased to handle the loads.
Worcester more expensive but not particularly difficult. There's not going to be many NIMBY fights about substation sitings because of how well-buffered it is.
Those are two you could conceivably fund and build before 2025, and very much justify the expense. We'll have to see if NJT's upcoming design for bi-level EMU's stuffed in the Bombardier coach shell makes for a cheap universal EMU make that can be templated places like here. As for the Fairmount DMU's...just open up another "Indigo" line on the northside and send them there. EMU's and DMU's are not mutually exclusive.
Northside...I agree. No electrification before the Link. There's no pre-existing infrastructure and scale to build off of like the NEC and South Station electrification, and traffic density north is nowhere near what it is south. It doesn't have nearly the same bang-for-buck as those 3 southside lines do. They do better simply getting the freed-up equipment from Providence/RIDOT, Worcester, and Fairmount.
-- Worcester definitely with all the layers of service that are going to be using it: Worcester expresses and semi-expresses, Framingham locals, Riverside "Indigos". The Beacon St. overpass would have to be raised since that hangs too low for wire clearance over a bi-level. All places Beacon Park to the Mass Pike overpass in Westborough are fine as-is, especially with the Beacon Park freight long gone and autoracks being relocated out of Framingham never to return. Double-stack territory from Worcester to Westborough Yard needs 23'1" of undergrade clearance for wires to pass over the unshielded roofs of the double-stack freights that currently roam there...but it's only a half-dozen or so bridges total, some are already super-tall, and nearly all can be track-undercut instead of bridge-raised. Worcester does not have the same DS+electrification problems that Fitchburg and Haverhill will...although you're not going to string wires west of Worcester (it's ~35 overhead bridges just Worcester-Springfield).
-- ...and Needham's future in the pecking order is really going to be decided long before the Link happens, simply from escalating NEC service levels squeezing it past the point where those schedules can co-mingle (as-is the Needham schedules can pretty much never increase at all because of said congestion). That conversion to rapid transit really isn't going to be optional at some point. The only question is pinning exactly which decade it becomes a non-optional priority. Probably not by the 2020's, but definitely before the 2040's.
Worcester + Fairmount + Providence are >half the southside equipment pool. And if anything will be stretching their lead that much more over Franklin, Needham, Stoughton/South Coast, and Old Colony+Cape with time as service densities increase. Throw in RIDOT Providence-Westerly and you've got more than ample scale for a robust EMU fleet in the near-term.
Fairmount's particularly easy to electrify because it would only need one paralleling station installed at the midpoint. The existing electrification infrastructure at Southampton and Readville tie it in at both ends. You just need the substation capacity out of Southampton and Sharon increased to handle the loads.
Worcester more expensive but not particularly difficult. There's not going to be many NIMBY fights about substation sitings because of how well-buffered it is.
Those are two you could conceivably fund and build before 2025, and very much justify the expense. We'll have to see if NJT's upcoming design for bi-level EMU's stuffed in the Bombardier coach shell makes for a cheap universal EMU make that can be templated places like here. As for the Fairmount DMU's...just open up another "Indigo" line on the northside and send them there. EMU's and DMU's are not mutually exclusive.
Northside...I agree. No electrification before the Link. There's no pre-existing infrastructure and scale to build off of like the NEC and South Station electrification, and traffic density north is nowhere near what it is south. It doesn't have nearly the same bang-for-buck as those 3 southside lines do. They do better simply getting the freed-up equipment from Providence/RIDOT, Worcester, and Fairmount.