budd6209 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 28, 2021 12:02 pm
It might be a good thing for east Ayer to Maine also might not be for Ayer west . The west end will be losing at least one train. I would think that in five years there will only be local service and a train to Gardner for P&W traffic. I would think CSX would try to quote cheaper rate on traffic to NS by the way of the B&A route than by the northern route. They have no reason to keep the northern route and have to split the revenue with two other railroads. Also I would expect the companies would rather have to deal with only two railroads than three. If some thing went wrong with there shipment it is easier to deal with two company to find out what happen to the shipment. This show how bad the companies feel about Pamam service.
Besides the Ayer, Gardner, and Slurpy traffic that's all it is today (local traffic). Barely anything moves from Deerfield to Maine, and it's been like that since PAS was formed over a decade ago. It's just a cheaper and quicker run out Barbers on a two line haul instead of three, unless it's a customer sourcing or sending cars to a PAS interchange.
I posted this before and I will post it again, the West End will lose a pair off the bat. It may even see some of the single iron CTC transitioned to TWC, but its future is sound. Have you seen the SLR, NECR or P&W? I was just by the SLR today, for 1 train a day in each direction the track looks like the Chicago Line. They usually run their short lines with Class 3 main lines. They would not have agreed to operate it if they did not believe it fit into their network and they saw organic growth potential. The tonnage to Gardner has gotten huge. The CP traffic is still there, the VRS traffic is still there. CSX still has to get its cars to Deerfield and to local customers. The CT traffic is still there. None of this even factors in what B&E will come up with on their own. CN now has a way to get its toe in the door (via St Albans) without having to buy anything.
So yeah, you'll see 2-3 jobs moving at 40 instead of 4 at 25 and 10. Which may be worse for snapping pictures but is likely better for rail customers.